From Realtor Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News October 30, 2009
The NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® thanked Congress for speedy action in passing a congressional resolution yesterday that would extend the current higher Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and FHA loan limits through 2010. The present loan limits would expire at the end of 2009 and revert to previous lower limits.
“NAR commends both houses of Congress for their quick action in continuing these higher limits during a time for recovery in the housing market and national economy. The higher limits, along with the home buyer tax credit extension, are necessary to keep the markets moving at this critical time,” said NAR President Charles McMillan.
“Home sales have shown significant movement upwards in the past six months and reduced inventory in some segments of the housing market, but not in all. Home purchases in the middle-income and higher brackets have not moved much, and those markets must improve before we can experience a fully sustained housing recovery. These higher loan limits will help motivate qualified home buyers to purchase in those markets,” McMillan said.
The resolution would extend the present conventional loan limits for Fannie and Freddie through the 2010 calendar year at 125 percent of local median home sales prices, up to a maximum of $729,750 in high-cost areas. The floor for FHA is $271,050; the floor for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac conforming loan limits is $417,000.
The resolution now goes to President Obama, and he is expected to sign it today or Saturday to avoid a government shutdown.
Source: NAR (10/30/2009)
Friday, October 30, 2009
Thursday, October 29, 2009
How to Tell Mortgage Rates Are Rising
From Realtor Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News October 29, 2009
What are the signs that mortgage rates, now at historic lows, are about to go up?
One way to catch a clue is to read the minutes of the Federal Reserve. For instance, the Federal Open Market Committee said in its September minutes that when it came to interest rates, there is “no policy change.” And the minutes said that while the Fed believes “an economic recovery is underway,” it regards a weak economy as a greater risk than inflation. Upcoming meeting minutes are likely to be just as forthcoming if an uptick is in the cards.
Other signs include:
* Declining unemployment: The unemployment rate is sitting at 9.7 percent. If lots of Americans go back to work, an increase in interest rates is likely.
* Rising discount rate: The rate the Fed charges banks that borrow from it directly stands at 0.5 percent. If it rises or the spread between it and the Federal Funds rate widens, then mortgage rate increases won’t be far behind.
Source: BusinesWeek.com, Marc Roth (10/28/2009)
What are the signs that mortgage rates, now at historic lows, are about to go up?
One way to catch a clue is to read the minutes of the Federal Reserve. For instance, the Federal Open Market Committee said in its September minutes that when it came to interest rates, there is “no policy change.” And the minutes said that while the Fed believes “an economic recovery is underway,” it regards a weak economy as a greater risk than inflation. Upcoming meeting minutes are likely to be just as forthcoming if an uptick is in the cards.
Other signs include:
* Declining unemployment: The unemployment rate is sitting at 9.7 percent. If lots of Americans go back to work, an increase in interest rates is likely.
* Rising discount rate: The rate the Fed charges banks that borrow from it directly stands at 0.5 percent. If it rises or the spread between it and the Federal Funds rate widens, then mortgage rate increases won’t be far behind.
Source: BusinesWeek.com, Marc Roth (10/28/2009)
FHA 203(k) Loans on the Rise
From Realtor Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News October 29, 2009
The FHA-backed 203(k) rehab loan is an increasingly popular option in today’s market because so many available properties – especially foreclosures – are in need of repair.
A streamlined 203(k) provides money to pay for improvements such as a new roof, appliances, furnace, energy-efficient windows, and cosmetic improvements like carpet, paint, and remodeled kitchens and baths.
The maximum loan available is $35,000. The buyer must put down 3.5 percent of the acquisition plus repair costs. At closing, the seller is paid and the remaining money goes into an escrow account to pay for repairs.
A licensed contractor must complete the work within six months. Some lenders allow the borrower to do minor cosmetic work like painting themselves.
Source: Minneapolis-St. Paul Star-Tribune, Lynn Underwood (10/25/2009)
The FHA-backed 203(k) rehab loan is an increasingly popular option in today’s market because so many available properties – especially foreclosures – are in need of repair.
A streamlined 203(k) provides money to pay for improvements such as a new roof, appliances, furnace, energy-efficient windows, and cosmetic improvements like carpet, paint, and remodeled kitchens and baths.
The maximum loan available is $35,000. The buyer must put down 3.5 percent of the acquisition plus repair costs. At closing, the seller is paid and the remaining money goes into an escrow account to pay for repairs.
A licensed contractor must complete the work within six months. Some lenders allow the borrower to do minor cosmetic work like painting themselves.
Source: Minneapolis-St. Paul Star-Tribune, Lynn Underwood (10/25/2009)
Friday, October 23, 2009
IRS Urges Stronger Controls on Tax Credit
From Realtor Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News October 23, 2009
If Congress decides to extend and expand the first-time home buyer credit, the Internal Revenue Service wants stronger regulation that would force anyone who claims the credit to actually prove they closed on the property.
Linda Stiff, deputy commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service, told the House Ways and Means Oversight Subcommittee on Thursday that the IRS would support requiring anyone claiming the credit to file a copy of a settlement statement from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, known as the HUD-1 form, with their tax return.
IRS auditors testified that the agency believes it paid thousands of fraudulent tax credit claims, totaling at least $139 million since the first of the year.
Source: The Wall Street Journal, Martin Vaughan (10/22/2009)
If Congress decides to extend and expand the first-time home buyer credit, the Internal Revenue Service wants stronger regulation that would force anyone who claims the credit to actually prove they closed on the property.
Linda Stiff, deputy commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service, told the House Ways and Means Oversight Subcommittee on Thursday that the IRS would support requiring anyone claiming the credit to file a copy of a settlement statement from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, known as the HUD-1 form, with their tax return.
IRS auditors testified that the agency believes it paid thousands of fraudulent tax credit claims, totaling at least $139 million since the first of the year.
Source: The Wall Street Journal, Martin Vaughan (10/22/2009)
Big Rebound in Existing-Home Sales
From Realtor Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News October 23, 2009
Existing-home sales bounced back strongly in September with first-time buyers driving much of the activity, marking five gains in the past six months, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.
Existing-home sales—including single-family, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops—jumped 9.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million units in September from a level of 5.10 million in August, and are 9.2 percent higher than the 5.10 million-unit pace in September 2008. Sales activity is at the highest level in more than two years, since it hit 5.73 million in July 2007.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said favorable conditions matched with a tax credit are boosting home sales. “Much of the momentum is from people responding to the first-time buyer tax credit, which is freeing many sellers to make a trade and buy another home,” he said. “We are hopeful the tax credit will be extended and possibly expanded to more buyers, at least through the middle of next year, because the rising sales momentum needs to continue for a few additional quarters until we reach a point of a self-sustaining recovery.”
Even with the improvement, Yun said the market is underperforming. “Despite spectacular gains in the stock market, principally from the financial sector recovery, most of the 75 million home-owning families have more wealth tied to their homes. Home values could soon turn consistently positive and help the broad base of middle-class families, but we are not there yet,” he said.
Conditions for First-Time Buyers
Early information from a large annual consumer study to be released on Nov. 13, the 2009 National Association of REALTORS® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers,shows that first-time home buyers accounted for more than 45 percent of home sales during the past year. A separate practitioner survey shows that distressed homes accounted for 29 percent of transactions in September.
NAR President Charles McMillan said affordability conditions remain historically high. “Potential first-time buyers can take heart in that affordability conditions this year are the highest on record dating back to 1970, but with the first-time buyer tax credit scheduled to expire at the end of next month, people could hold back from entering the market,” he said. “Our read is that housing overshot on the downside because homes are selling for less than replacement construction costs in much of the country, and the home price-to-income ratio has fallen below the historical average.”
Inventory Falls
Total housing inventory at the end of September fell 7.5 percent to 3.63 million existing homes available for sale, which represents an 7.8-month supply at the current sales pace, down from an 9.3-month supply in August. Unsold inventory totals are 15.0 percent below a year ago.
“The current housing supply is the lowest we’ve seen in two and a half years,” Yun said. “If we could continue to absorb inventory at this pace, home prices would return to normal, modest appreciation patterns next year.”
According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 5.06 percent in September from 5.19 percent in August; the rate was 6.04 percent in September 2008.
Home Sales Breakdown
The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $174,900 in September, which is 8.5 percent lower than September 2008. Distressed properties continue to downwardly distort the median price because they generally sell at a discount relative to traditional homes in the same area.
Single-family home sales rose 9.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.89 million in September from a pace of 4.47 million in August, and are 7.7 percent above the 4.54 million-unit level in September 2008. The median existing single-family home price was $174,900 in September, which is 8.1 percent below a year ago.
Existing condominium and co-op sales jumped 9.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 680,000 units in September from 620,000 in August, and are 9.7 percent above the 561,000-unit pace a year ago. The median existing condo price was $175,100 in September, down 11.7 percent from September 2008.
Here’s the region-by-region picture:
* Northeast: Existing-home sales increased 4.4 percent to an annual level of 950,000 in September, and are 11.8 percent higher than September 2008. The median price was $234,700, down 7.0 percent from a year ago.
* Midwest: Existing-home sales jumped 9.6 percent in September to a pace of 1.25 million and are 7.8 percent above a year ago. The median price was $147,600, which is 1.0 percent below September 2008.
* South: Existing-home sales rose 9.0 percent to an annual level of 2.06 million in September and are 10.8 percent higher than September 2008. The median price was $153,500, down 7.6 percent from a year ago.
* West: Existing-home sales surged 13.0 percent to an annual rate of 1.30 million in September and are 5.7 percent above a year ago. The median price in the West was $219,000, which is 15.0 percent below September 2008.
Source: NAR
Existing-home sales bounced back strongly in September with first-time buyers driving much of the activity, marking five gains in the past six months, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.
Existing-home sales—including single-family, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops—jumped 9.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million units in September from a level of 5.10 million in August, and are 9.2 percent higher than the 5.10 million-unit pace in September 2008. Sales activity is at the highest level in more than two years, since it hit 5.73 million in July 2007.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said favorable conditions matched with a tax credit are boosting home sales. “Much of the momentum is from people responding to the first-time buyer tax credit, which is freeing many sellers to make a trade and buy another home,” he said. “We are hopeful the tax credit will be extended and possibly expanded to more buyers, at least through the middle of next year, because the rising sales momentum needs to continue for a few additional quarters until we reach a point of a self-sustaining recovery.”
Even with the improvement, Yun said the market is underperforming. “Despite spectacular gains in the stock market, principally from the financial sector recovery, most of the 75 million home-owning families have more wealth tied to their homes. Home values could soon turn consistently positive and help the broad base of middle-class families, but we are not there yet,” he said.
Conditions for First-Time Buyers
Early information from a large annual consumer study to be released on Nov. 13, the 2009 National Association of REALTORS® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers,shows that first-time home buyers accounted for more than 45 percent of home sales during the past year. A separate practitioner survey shows that distressed homes accounted for 29 percent of transactions in September.
NAR President Charles McMillan said affordability conditions remain historically high. “Potential first-time buyers can take heart in that affordability conditions this year are the highest on record dating back to 1970, but with the first-time buyer tax credit scheduled to expire at the end of next month, people could hold back from entering the market,” he said. “Our read is that housing overshot on the downside because homes are selling for less than replacement construction costs in much of the country, and the home price-to-income ratio has fallen below the historical average.”
Inventory Falls
Total housing inventory at the end of September fell 7.5 percent to 3.63 million existing homes available for sale, which represents an 7.8-month supply at the current sales pace, down from an 9.3-month supply in August. Unsold inventory totals are 15.0 percent below a year ago.
“The current housing supply is the lowest we’ve seen in two and a half years,” Yun said. “If we could continue to absorb inventory at this pace, home prices would return to normal, modest appreciation patterns next year.”
According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 5.06 percent in September from 5.19 percent in August; the rate was 6.04 percent in September 2008.
Home Sales Breakdown
The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $174,900 in September, which is 8.5 percent lower than September 2008. Distressed properties continue to downwardly distort the median price because they generally sell at a discount relative to traditional homes in the same area.
Single-family home sales rose 9.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.89 million in September from a pace of 4.47 million in August, and are 7.7 percent above the 4.54 million-unit level in September 2008. The median existing single-family home price was $174,900 in September, which is 8.1 percent below a year ago.
Existing condominium and co-op sales jumped 9.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 680,000 units in September from 620,000 in August, and are 9.7 percent above the 561,000-unit pace a year ago. The median existing condo price was $175,100 in September, down 11.7 percent from September 2008.
Here’s the region-by-region picture:
* Northeast: Existing-home sales increased 4.4 percent to an annual level of 950,000 in September, and are 11.8 percent higher than September 2008. The median price was $234,700, down 7.0 percent from a year ago.
* Midwest: Existing-home sales jumped 9.6 percent in September to a pace of 1.25 million and are 7.8 percent above a year ago. The median price was $147,600, which is 1.0 percent below September 2008.
* South: Existing-home sales rose 9.0 percent to an annual level of 2.06 million in September and are 10.8 percent higher than September 2008. The median price was $153,500, down 7.6 percent from a year ago.
* West: Existing-home sales surged 13.0 percent to an annual rate of 1.30 million in September and are 5.7 percent above a year ago. The median price in the West was $219,000, which is 15.0 percent below September 2008.
Source: NAR
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Economists Predict Housing Recovery
From Realtor Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News October 13, 2009
Economic forecasters predict that 2010 will be the first year since 2005 for housing to contribute to the growth of the U.S. economy, according to a survey released by the National Association for Business Economics.
Home prices are expected to rise 2 percent next year, but forecasters don’t believe the increase in prices will discourage homebuyers.
More than 80 percent of economists surveyed by the NABE think the recession is over and recovery has begun, but they expect the expansion to be slow because unemployment persists.
Source: Associated Press, Mae Anderson (10/12/2009)
Economic forecasters predict that 2010 will be the first year since 2005 for housing to contribute to the growth of the U.S. economy, according to a survey released by the National Association for Business Economics.
Home prices are expected to rise 2 percent next year, but forecasters don’t believe the increase in prices will discourage homebuyers.
More than 80 percent of economists surveyed by the NABE think the recession is over and recovery has begun, but they expect the expansion to be slow because unemployment persists.
Source: Associated Press, Mae Anderson (10/12/2009)
Homeownership Still A Good Investment
From Realtor Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News October 13, 2009
The American dream of homeownership is still a good bet, financial advisors say firmly.
Despite the downturn in the last couple of years, homes have still appreciated an average of 4 percent a year since World War II. Plus, it’s a leveraged investment; a 10 percent down payment yields a 1,000 percent return if the price of the home doubles.
There are also valuable intangibles. Owning a home provides independence, security, community, and a roof over the owner’s head. No one can say that about investing in stock.
Source: Associated Press, Dave Carpenter (10/12/2009)
The American dream of homeownership is still a good bet, financial advisors say firmly.
Despite the downturn in the last couple of years, homes have still appreciated an average of 4 percent a year since World War II. Plus, it’s a leveraged investment; a 10 percent down payment yields a 1,000 percent return if the price of the home doubles.
There are also valuable intangibles. Owning a home provides independence, security, community, and a roof over the owner’s head. No one can say that about investing in stock.
Source: Associated Press, Dave Carpenter (10/12/2009)
Global Housing Prices Increase
From Realtor Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News October 13, 2009
Home prices are recovering all around the world, according to the quarterly Knight Frank Global House Price Index.
The index showed housing prices rising in about 50 percent of countries, with the strongest recovery in the second quarter in the countries of Norway, Finland, and Sweden. Australia, Israel, and the Netherlands are also up.
Most of the increases are driven by historically low interest rates and buyer tax incentives. For instance, Sweden’s central bank cut the prime interest rate to 0.25 percent, so banks are offering home loans at 1.5 percent.
Source: BusinessWeek.com, Leona Liu (10/13/2009)
Home prices are recovering all around the world, according to the quarterly Knight Frank Global House Price Index.
The index showed housing prices rising in about 50 percent of countries, with the strongest recovery in the second quarter in the countries of Norway, Finland, and Sweden. Australia, Israel, and the Netherlands are also up.
Most of the increases are driven by historically low interest rates and buyer tax incentives. For instance, Sweden’s central bank cut the prime interest rate to 0.25 percent, so banks are offering home loans at 1.5 percent.
Source: BusinessWeek.com, Leona Liu (10/13/2009)
Monday, October 12, 2009
San Diego & Orange County Market Updates Available
The latest monthly update reports are now available. Simply email me at drtimjames@prusd.com to request your copies.
Tim
Tim
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